Book

Ord, Toby, 1979- author.

The precipice : existential risk and the future of humanity / Toby Ord.

New York : Hachette Books, [2020]

©2020

x, 468 pages : illustrations, maps ; 24 cm

"Drawing on over a decade of research, ... [the author] explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity"-- Provided by publisher.

Social prediction.

Social ecology.

Human ecology.

World politics -- 21st century -- Forecasting.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 423-460) and index.

Introduction -- How we got here -- Where we might go -- The precipice -- Understanding existential risk -- Looking to the present -- Looking to our future -- Looking to our past -- Civilization virtues -- Cosmic significance -- Uncertainty -- Our neglect of existential risks -- Asteroids & comets -- Supervolcanic eruptions -- Stellar explosions -- Other natural risks -- The total natural risk -- Nuclear weapons -- Climate change -- Environmental damage -- Pandemics -- Unaligned artificial intelligence -- Dystopian scenarios -- Other risks -- Quantifying the risks -- Combining and comparing risks -- Risk factors -- Which risks? -- Grand strategy for humanity -- Risks without precedent -- International coordination -- Technological progress -- Research on existential risk -- What you can do -- Duration -- Scale -- Quality -- Choices.

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